ABSTRACT
-
Background
- The mortality of sepsis without direct drugs is high. The association between prediabetes, based on a single fasting glucose (FG), or long-term type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and sepsis remains unclear.
-
Methods
- Of the adults aged ≥20 years who were included in the National Health Screening Program (NHSP) in 2009, 40% were randomly sampled. After excluding patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus, with missing information, and who were diagnosed with sepsis during the wash-out (between 2001 and the NHSP) or 1-year lag period, a cohort comprised of 3,863,323 examinees. Body mass index (BMI) measurements, FG tests, and self-reported questionnaires on health-related behaviors were conducted. Individual information was followed up until 2020 and censored upon the first occurrence of sepsis or death. The incidence of sepsis was compared using a multivariable regression adjusted for age, sex, income, BMI, smoking, drinking, physical activity levels, and chronic diseases.
-
Results
- The cohort was divided into those with normal FG (n=2,675,476), impaired fasting glucose (IFG) (n=890,402, 23.0%), T2DM <5 years (n=212,391, 5.5%), or T2DM for ≥5 years (n=85,054, 2.2%). The groups with IFG (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.05), T2DM <5 years (aHR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.40 to 1.47), and T2DM for ≥5 years (aHR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.77 to 1.87) exhibited significantly higher incidence of sepsis (P<0.001), with the greatest risk in patients with T2DM aged <40 years (aHR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.71 to 2.25).
-
Conclusion
- Patients with long-standing and young-onset T2DM show a substantially high risk of sepsis, emphasizing the need for infection prevention and vaccination.
-
Keywords: Diabetes mellitus, type 2; Incidence; Prediabetic state; Risk; Sepsis
KEY FIGURE
Highlights
- • Sepsis risk increases substantially in long-standing T2DM or young-onset T2DM.
- • Obesity, smoking, drinking, and physical activity lack ties to sepsis risk in T2DM.
- • Infection precautions and vaccination can reduce sepsis risk in long-standing T2DM.
INTRODUCTION
- The growing global prevalence and socioeconomic burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the aging population could bring about significant ripple effects on multifaceted public health sectors and disability-adjusted life-years [1-3]. Despite the probable underestimation of the real prevalence and the high proportion of undiagnosed T2DM [4,5], forecasts from the Global Burden of Disease dataset and the International Diabetes Federation Atlas suggest that the global T2DM prevalence may reach approximately 7,000 per 100,000 individuals in 2030 and affect 11.2% of the global population in 2045 [3,6]. In addition to the well-documented and common complications of T2DM, including cardiovascular diseases, renal disease, and retinopathy [2], chronic low-grade systemic inflammation from hyperglycemia can lead to immune dysfunction and exhaustion. This results from the prolonged activation of mononuclear cells and neutrophils; reduced phagocytic activity; and alterations in the complement system, cytokines, and chemokines [7-9]. Therefore, patients with T2DM may be vulnerable to infections caused by several bacteria or viruses [8, 10-13], and have a higher risk of active tuberculosis compared with the general population [14].
- Sepsis is a dysregulated pathophysiological response triggered to a microbial infection, leading to critical organ dysfunction with severe outcomes and irreversible functional disabilities [15]. Managing sepsis and septic shock remains a challenge as early intensive resuscitation aimed at restoring tissue hypoperfusion without distinct targets or goals does not substantially improve the survival rates [16,17]. Additionally, the lack of direct antiseptic drugs that can control organ or tissue injuries underscores the need for personalized approaches to prevent sepsis in patients with risk factors [18].
- Recent investigations in the United Kingdom (UK), Denmark, and Sweden revealed that patients with uncontrolled T2DM along with elevated glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels had an increased risk of various infections, including sepsis, and an elevated risk of mortality from such infections than those with well-managed T2DM or without T2DM [12,13,19,20]. Understanding the link between prediabetes or the duration of T2DM and sepsis is crucial for developing individualized approaches to prevent sepsis through lifestyle modification and the adoption of infection prevention measures after the early detection of hyperglycemia; however, this relationship remains relatively unexplored. Hence, we aimed to provide evidence based on the largest health checkup cohort with a longitudinal follow-up to substantiate the association of T2DM duration or impaired fasting glucose (IFG) with the incidence of sepsis in South Korean individuals in non-Caucasian East Asia.
METHODS
- Data source and study design
- This retrospective longitudinal cohort study was based on the National Healthcare Promotion Project implemented by the Korean National Health Insurance Service (KNHIS), which serves as a singular public insurance system with mandatory registration [21,22]. The National Health Information Database (NHID) records various types of medical information, including the International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision (ICD-10) diagnostic codes, demographics, prescriptions, procedures, and dates of death for outpatient and inpatient usage, generated by the KNHIS for comprehensive claims system [21,22]. Since 2008, the KNHIS has conducted biennially free and voluntary National Health Screening Programs (NHSPs) (known as general health checkups) for individuals aged ≥20 years. These screenings consist essentially of gathering of basic sociodemographic data, anthropometric measurements (height, weight, waist circumference [WC], and blood pressure levels), fasting laboratory tests, and a self-administered survey capturing current diseases, medications used, and health-related behaviors (cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, and physical activity [PA]) (Appendix 1) [23]. To ensure the reliability of plasma glucose and lipid levels, examinees were instructed to fast for at least 8 hours after dinner, the day before the checkup. Additional information on the examinees was obtained from the NHID-NHSP database using anonymized identifiers.
- Forty percent (n=4,234,415) of the total participants who underwent the NHSP from January 2009 to December 2009 were randomly sampled. The checkup date was defined as the cohort start date. Patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM; n=71,691), a prior diagnosis of sepsis during the washout period (between 2000 and the start date) (n=7,239), and missing values (n=281,520) were excluded. Additionally, participants newly diagnosed with sepsis during the 1-year lag period after the start date (n=10,642) were excluded to ensure accurate evaluation of the association between T2DM or IFG and sepsis. The checkup results of the final cohort (n=3,863,323) were collected from the NHSP database, and their clinical data were monitored in the NHID until December 2020. The participants were censored if the first occurrence of sepsis during hospitalization was identified or if they died. The median follow-up period of the cohort was 10.3 years (Fig. 1). This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Gangnam Severance Hospital (IRB No. 3-2023-0267), and the requirement for written consent was waived due to the retrospective design of the anonymized data. All research procedures adhered to the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki.
- Operational definitions
- Inpatient sepsis was diagnosed using the ICD-10 codes, except for P36 (bacterial sepsis in newborns) and O85 (puerperal sepsis) in the NHID (Supplementary Table 1) [24]. Outpatient sepsis codes were not considered to minimize diagnostic errors from code-based definitions.
- T2DM was defined using the ICD-10 code E11and/or prescription codes for oral antidiabetic drugs or (short- or long-acting) insulin only when the self-reported questionnaire responses and NHID information within 6 months from the cohort start date were identical. New-onset T2DM was defined as diabetes detected after an NHSP, which reported a fasting plasma glucose (FPG) level of ≥126 mg/dL [25], and the confirmation of the diagnostic and medication codes for T2DM within 3 months after the checkup. The duration of T2DM was assessed as the disease period prior to the cohort start date. To ascertain the T2DM duration, we confirmed the ICD-10 and/or antidiabetic drug codes from the NHID rather than from the responses to the self-questionnaire. The T2DM group (n=297,445) was divided into individuals with diabetes <5 years including those with new-onset (n=212,391) and individuals with diabetes ≥5 years (n=85,054). IFG (n=890,402) was defined as 100≤ FPG ≤125 mg/dL at the checkup and the lack of both diagnosis and drug codes for T2DM in the NHID during the total follow-up [25]. The normal FPG group (n=2,675,476) was defined as individuals with a checkup FPG level of <100 mg/dL and the absence of both diagnosis and drug codes for T2DM in the NHID in the entire observation period.
- Alcohol consumption was classified as none, mild, or heavy, based on the average daily intake. The mild and heavy drinkers were defined as those who consumed <30 and ≥30 g/day, respectively [26]. By smoking status, the participants were divided into none, former, or current smokers at the start of the study. Regular PA was defined as engaging in light-intensity PA for ≥5 days/week, or vigorous-intensity PA for ≥3 days/week [27]. The last 7-day recall self-report for PA level (Appendix 1) was considered an appropriate tool for evaluating each participant’s level of PA during national monitoring [28].
- Chronic illnesses such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) were ascertained in the NHID by identifying relevant ICD-10 and/or drug codes within 6 months from the start date, adhering to established diagnostic criteria for each condition (Supplementary Table 2). Body mass index (BMI) calculated based on the patient’s height and weight at checkup were subdivided into underweight (<18.5 kg/m2), normal (18.5–22.9 kg/m2), overweight (23–24.9 kg/m2), obese I (25–29.9 kg/m2), and obese II (≥30 kg/m2) according to the Asia-Pacific standard of the World Health Organization. Patients with a household income of below the 25th percentile, according to the 2010 National Population and Housing Census, were assigned to the lowest income group.
- Statistical analysis
- The baseline characteristics were expressed as the mean±standard deviation or median with the 25th and 75th interquartile ranges. To compare the four groups (normal FPG, IFG, T2DM <5 years including new onset, and T2DM for ≥5 years), the Kruskal-Wallis and one-way analysis of variance tests were employed for categorical and continuous variables, respectively. A two-tailed P value of less than 0.05 was considered significant. The incidence rate (IR) of sepsis per 1,000 person-year (PY) was also assessed. To examine the relationship between T2DM or IFG and sepsis using normal FPG levels as a reference, multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to obtain unadjusted or adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Contrary to the unadjusted model 1, model 2 was adjusted for age and sex, while model 3 was adjusted for age, sex, income, BMI categories, smoking, drinking, regular PA, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and CKD. Adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves were utilized, and the statistical significance was determined using the log-rank test to compare the cumulative incidence of sepsis across distinct groups over a 10-year period. All statistical analyses were performed using the SAS software version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). Forest plots of various subgroups were created using Python version 3.12.3 (Python Software Foundation, Wilmington, DE, USA).
RESULTS
- Baseline characteristics of cohort and subgroups
- Among 3,863,323 of cohort population, participants with normal FPG levels (69.3%) had the highest proportion, followed by those with IFG (23.0%), T2DM <5 years (5.5%), and T2DM for ≥5 years (2.2%). The mean age of the entire cohort was 47 years, and 56% were aged between 40 and 64 years. The youngest group comprised participants with normal FPG levels (45.0±13.8 years), while the oldest group comprised those with T2DM for ≥5 years (61.4±9.9 years). The age increased sequentially from individuals with normal FPG levels to those with T2DM for ≥5 years (P<0.001). The proportion of older adults aged ≥65 years was the highest in the group with T2DM for ≥5 years (40.1%). The BMI and WC was highest in the group with T2DM for <5 years (25.2±3.4 kg/m2 and 85.6±8.6 cm, respectively), showing a significantly higher incidence of abdominal obesity in patients with T2DM regardless of duration (all P<0.001). Hypertension, dyslipidemia, and CKD commonly developed in the group with T2DM for ≥5 years (64%, 43%, and 16%, respectively), showing a progressively higher prevalence compared with those with normal FPG levels (P<0.001). The proportion of participants who engaged in regular PA was significantly higher in the group with a T2DM for ≥5 years compared with the normal FPG group (25% vs. 17%, P<0.001) (Table 1).
- In single-point checkup fasting blood tests, the FPG levels increased with the progression of T2DM, reflecting a hyperglycemic condition with prolonged duration of T2DM (normal FPG, IFG, T2DM for <5 years, and T2DM for ≥5 years: 87.5±7.7, 107.8±6.6, 146.2±45.9, and 147.5±52.2 mg/dL, respectively; P<0.001). The IFG group had the highest levels of total and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol among the four study groups (all P<0.001) (Table 1).
- The prevalence of sepsis was significantly higher among individuals with T2DM for ≥5 years (7.4%) than among those with normal FPG levels (1.6%), IFG (2.2%), and T2DM for <5 years (4.2%) (P<0.001) (Table 1).
- Differences of sepsis incidence among the impaired fasting glucose groups and two diabetes duration groups
- The IFG group (IR, 2.23/1,000 PY) had a significantly higher IR of sepsis than the reference group among participants with normal FPG levels (1.56/1,000 PY) in the unadjusted model 1 (hazard ratio [HR], 1.43; 95% CI, 1.41 to 1.46), multivariable model 2 (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.05), and model 3 (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.05). The risk of sepsis was significantly higher in patients with T2DM for <5 years (4.27/1,000 PY) and T2DM for ≥5 years (7.88/1,000 PY) in all models compared with the normal FPG group. In the model 3 adjusted for potential confounding factors, the aHR was highest in the group with T2DM for ≥5 years (1.82; 95% CI, 1.77 to 1.87). In all three models, the incidence of sepsis differed significantly among the four groups (all P<0.001). In particular, the risk of sepsis progressively increased with higher aHR, from the IFG group to the group with T2DM for ≥5 years (Table 2). As the observation period progressed, the cumulative incidence probability of sepsis increased most steeply in the group with T2DM for ≥5 years, followed by those with T2DM <5 years and IFG (log-rank P<0.001) (Fig. 2).
- Impact of T2DM between subgroups according to comorbidities or health-related behaviors on the risk of sepsis
- A significant difference was observed in the aHR for sepsis depending on the diagnosis of T2DM in the multivariable model 2 by age group (P<0.001), sex (P=0.009), and the presence of hypertension (P<0.001). When the risk of sepsis was compared between participants with T2DM and those without T2DM, the risk was significantly high in patients aged <65 years. Notably, when T2DM was diagnosed, the aHR for sepsis increased by two-fold (95% CI, 1.7 to 2.25) in the group aged <40 years and by 1.8-fold (95% CI, 1.75 to 1.85) in the group aged 40–64 years. However, the relative risk of sepsis due to T2DM only increased by 1.4-fold in adults aged ≥65 years, apart from the highest prevalence of sepsis (12.4 cases/1,000 PY). In addition, women with T2DM exhibited a greater increase in aHR than men with T2DM (1.60 vs. 1.52, P=0.009). Furthermore, patients with T2DM without hypertension displayed a higher aHR than those with hypertension (1.62 vs. 1.52, P<0.001) (Fig. 3, Supplementary Table 3).
DISCUSSION
- The results of a large-scale NHSP cohort comprising approximately 4 million people nationwide revealed that T2DM or IFG (prediabetes) are independent risk factors of sepsis. The notable findings in our data are as follows: (1) the risk of sepsis substantially increases in individuals with T2DM for ≥5 years or young-onset T2DM (YOD), defined as onset before the age of 40 years; (2) modifiable lifestyle factors such as obesity, smoking, drinking, and PA did not show significant associations with the risk of sepsis in patients with T2DM; and (3) individuals with T2DM without hypertension or women with T2DM exhibited a higher vulnerability to sepsis compared with those with T2DM with hypertension or men with T2DM.
- Additionally, recent studies, including one by Balintescu et al. [20], highlighted that both well- and poorly controlled hyperglycemia, measured through based on the mean HbA1c values within short intervals, increased the incidence of sepsis in patients with T2DM (lowest aHR at HbA1c of 7.0%–7.8%). A meta-analysis revealed a U-shaped relationship between in-hospital mortality rate after sepsis and blood glucose levels in patients with T2DM (with the lowest mortality observed at blood glucose levels of 145 to 155 mg/dL) [29]. Despite the nonlinear connection between blood glucose levels and the risk or outcome of sepsis, the precise pathophysiologic mechanism linking T2DM duration or IFG to sepsis incidence, relative to individuals with normal FPG, remain poorly understood and warrant further investigation. Our analyses showed that patients with IFG identified on a single blood test had an increased incidence of sepsis compared with those with normal FPG levels, although the adjusted risk ratio was slightly higher. The early detection of IFG or T2DM using a simple FPG test could therefore aid in predicting a higher risk of sepsis compared with the IR at normal FPG levels. Such proactive measures could potentially prevent sepsis by promoting education and adherence to infection prevention practices (e.g., pneumonia from hand washing or urinary tract infection [UTI] from toilet hygiene) in adults with IFG or T2DM. Therefore, the implementation of regular (annual or biennial) measurement of FPG levels as part of a health checkup could be one of the several cost-effective strategies to reduce community-acquired sepsis, especially in low- and middle-income countries.
- The incidence of YOD has remarkably increased in various countries, especially among female [30]. A nationwide cohort analysis from the Korean NHID also showed that the incidence of YOD steadily increased from 1.3 in 2006 to 1.7/1,000 people in 2015, with a strikingly higher proportion of obese individuals [31]. Due to the rapid decline in β-cell function and poor compliance to clinic visit or treatment, YOD patients have the more aggressive clinical outcomes and complications including cardiovascular disease, retinopathy, CKD, mental illness and cancer compared with patients with usual-onset T2DM (occurring at age ≥40 years) and T1DM [30,32], ultimately leading to the higher all-cause hospitalization and mortality [30,32-34]. Herein, our report presents sepsis as an additional serious disease that requires attention among patients with YOD.
- In a retrospective cohort study performed in the UK, patients with T2DM had the increased risk ratio of 2.3 (95% CI, 2.1 to 2.4) for sepsis than age-sex-practice-matched control group without T2DM [13]. However, the total number of patients with T2DM (n=96,630) and sepsis events (n=2,612) was lower than that in our cohort, and analyses according to age groups and T2DM duration were not performed. Another cohort (n=443,764) in Hong Kong have shown a significantly higher admission rate caused by various infections (aHR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.4 to 2.1) in patients with YOD compared with those with usual-onset T2DM, but data on sepsis were not included [34]. Our first study revealed the particularly alarming finding that the risk of sepsis was the highest in patients with YOD among all age groups or those with any clinical features, with a two-fold increased aHR compared with individuals aged 20 to 40 years without T2DM. The total burden of sepsis in patients with YOD might be lower than that in individuals with other chronic compilations [30,32,33]. Considering the unexpectedly high mortality or long-term disabilities after sepsis or septic shock even in the current era without direct antisepsis drugs, the long-life expectancy, and less attention to sepsis in patients with YOD, prospective studies on sepsis and sepsis-attributable mortality are warranted and should guide the development of multifaceted preventive strategies tailored to a specific population.
- The higher risk of sepsis in patients with T2DM for ≥5 years could be interpreted as a more chronic inflammatory status caused by intermittent or persistent hyperglycemia, which intensify the dysregulation or impairment of the immune systems [8]. The interaction of advanced glycation end products (AGEs) with receptor for AGEs (RAGE) via MyD88 and toll-like receptor 4 in T2DM can activate the nuclear factor-κB. The activation of this key transcriptional factor can cause hyperinflammation, cytokine storm, and organ dysfunction in patients with sepsis [35,36]. In addition, insulin resistance in the skeletal muscles of patients with T2DM could induce higher expression of various genes related to immune mechanisms [37]. This vicious repetition between insulin resistance worsens with T2DM duration, and constant inflammation in obesity-associated adipose tissues, muscles, and hepatocytes could gradually aggravate vulnerability to sepsis [8,36-38].
- The exact or potential reasons for our findings regarding the higher risk of sepsis in women with T2DM and patients with T2DM without hypertension are currently not clearly understood. There have been no studies conducted on the relationship between sex and infections or impairment of immune systems in T2DM patients. Several studies have reported that (recurrent) UTIs are commonly observed in female diabetes patients compared to women without T2DM [39,40]. In general, UTIs occur at a significantly higher prevalence in women compared to men regardless of T2DM [39]. Therefore, we could infer that female with T2DM may be at a higher risk of developing sepsis originated from UTIs compared to men. Hypertension, which commonly coexists with T2DM, in many preclinical in vitro or animal studies can have the complex impacts on the chronic immune system and cytokine secretion through various mechanisms [41]. It may be very difficult, to clearly explain the underlying causes of clinical phenomena that emerge as the final results of complex physiological processes between hypertension and sepsis in relation to a wide complicated immune response.
- The study findings may have clinical implications for personalized prevention of sepsis and various infectious diseases in patients with T2DM or IFG. Although international guidelines such as the ‘Surviving Sepsis Campaign,’ including early intensive resuscitation and protocol-based bundle approaches, have contributed to reducing the mortality rate of sepsis [42], the mortality of sepsis in intensive care unit care and acquisition at the hospital is significantly high at 25% to 62%, particularly in resource-limited setting [15,35]. The dire outcome in high-severity sepsis originates considerably from the failure of bench-to-bedside research on innovative anti-sepsis medication [18,35]. Therefore, personalized approaches for individuals with risk factors for sepsis should be prioritized in the public health sector, warranting urgent attention [35,42]. The early detection of abnormal FPG levels through regular simple blood tests in health checkup and adherence to proper hygiene and precautions will help reduce the global burden of sepsis, particularly in low-income countries.
- Our study has some limitations that are similar to the inherent disadvantages, including the operational definition in a large-scale retrospective cohort or registry with long-term observation [12,19,31,34]. Primarily, the diagnosis of sepsis may not be absolutely objective, and sepsis may be overestimated or underestimated depending on the decision of the physician based on different scoring methods for assessing systemic inflammation and organ dysfunction (i.e., quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment or Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II) [42]. Additionally, the definition of sepsis in the international guidelines was significantly changed following the introduction of the ‘Sepsis-3 criteria’ and the deletion of severe sepsis during the 10-year follow-up period [42]. However, to minimize misclassification errors arising from the identification of sepsis in big data, we operationally defined sepsis using only the ICD-10 codes for hospitalized patients. Because accurate documentation of diagnostic codes is crucial for medical expense reimbursement in the KNHIS, there is little tendency for ICD-10 codes related to severe infectious conditions like sepsis to be inaccurately recorded. Furthermore, the application of the same ICD-10 codes in previous studies on sepsis from a nationwide cohort may support the reliance on the extraction of sepsis diagnoses [24,43]. Second, the participants in the NHSP did not undergo a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test or measurement of HbA1c levels, which is another method of diagnosing T2DM or impaired glucose tolerance. Finally, owing to the retrospective design, not all potential confounding covariates could be captured by a single examination in the NHSP and may have changed during the observation period. However, this report from the largest cohort, encompassing over 300,000 patients with T2DM, represents one of the most extensive studies in diabetes registries. It recorded a significant number of sepsis events, with 78,000 occurring in the total cohort and 15,000 within the T2DM group specifically. Results from extensive numbers and observations over a long period of time can provide enough statistical power and strength to overcome the shortcomings of retrospective analysis.
- In conclusion, the incidence of sepsis significantly increased in T2DM compared to normoglycemia, and was the highest in patients with T2DM of ≥5 years at approximately twice than people with normal FPG. Infection precautions, including education on preventive behaviors and vaccination, will help reduce the risk of sepsis in adults with long-standing T2DM.
SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS
Supplementary materials related to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.4093/dmj.2024.0387.
NOTES
-
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
-
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conception or design: E.H.L., K.H.L., K.D.H., S.H.H.
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: E.H.L., K.L., Y.P., K.D.H., S.H.H.
Drafting the work or revising: E.H.L., S.H.H.
Final approval of the manuscript: all authors.
-
FUNDING
None
Acknowledgements- None
Fig. 1.Schematic diagram of cohort selection, group classification, and follow-up process. KNHIS, Korean National Health Insurance Service; DM, diabetes mellitus; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; IFG, impaired fasting glucose. aThe duration of DM at the time of the health check-up was assessed by International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision code or start date of oral anti-diabetic drugs and/or insulin, bMedian (interquartile range).
Fig. 2.Adjusted cumulative incidence probability of sepsis during the 10-year follow-up according to normal or impaired fasting glucose (IFG) or duration of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The incidence risk in each group was adjusted for age, sex, lowest income status, five categories of body mass index, smoking and drinking behaviors, regular physical activities, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney disease.
Fig. 3.Forest plots revealing the adjusted sepsis risk in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) compared with patients without T2DM in the subgroups according to various clinical characteristics. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were obtained using the multivariable model 2. Obesity indicates obese I and II among the five categories based on body mass index. The light green boxes indicate that the aHRs were significantly different between the subgroups (P<0.05). CI, confidence interval; Ex, former smoker; PA, physical activity; HTN, hypertension; CKD, chronic kidney disease.
Table 1.Baseline characteristics of the cohort population and subgroups according to type 2 diabetes mellitus
Characteristic |
Total (n=3,863,323) |
Fasting glucose level and diabetic status
|
P value |
Normal FPG (n=2,675,476, 69.3%) |
IFG (n=890,402, 23.0%) |
T2DMa for <5 years (n=212,391, 5.5%) |
T2DM for ≥5 years (n=85,054, 2.2%) |
Age, yr |
47.0±13.9 |
45.0±13.8 |
49.7±13.2 |
54.7±12.3 |
61.4±9.9 |
<0.001 |
<40 |
1,212,131 (31.4) |
986,194 (36.9) |
201,470 (22.6) |
23,388 (11.0) |
1,079 (1.3) |
<0.001 |
40–64 |
2,165,045 (56.0) |
1,417,667 (53.0) |
556,861 (62.5) |
140,618 (66.2) |
49,899 (58.7) |
|
≥65 |
486,147 (12.6) |
271,615 (10.2) |
132,071 (14.8) |
48,385 (22.8) |
34,076 (40.1) |
|
Male sex |
2,110,997 (54.6) |
1,370,656 (51.2) |
552,195 (62.0) |
139,201 (65.5) |
48,945 (57.6) |
<0.001 |
BMI, kg/m2
|
23.7±3.2 |
23.3±3.2 |
24.4±3.2 |
25.2±3.4 |
24.7±3.1 |
<0.001 |
<18.5 |
143,780 (3.7) |
120,176 (4.5) |
19,458 (2.2) |
3,126 (1.5) |
1,020 (1.2) |
<0.001 |
<23 |
1,513,927 (39.2) |
1,160,170 (43.4) |
281,199 (31.6) |
49,351 (23.2) |
23,207 (27.3) |
|
<25 |
950,974 (24.6) |
644,130 (24.1) |
231,495 (26.0) |
52,015 (24.5) |
23,334 (27.4) |
|
<30 |
1,118,746 (29.0) |
678,214 (25.4) |
316,641 (35.6) |
90,992 (42.8) |
32,899 (38.7) |
|
≥30 |
135,896 (3.5) |
72,786 (2.7) |
41,609 (4.7) |
16,907 (8.0) |
4,594 (5.4) |
|
Waist circumference, cm |
80.2±9.1 |
78.8±9.0 |
82.4±8.7 |
85.6±8.6 |
85.4±8.1 |
<0.001 |
Underlying diseases |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hypertension |
959,722 (24.8) |
508,341 (19.0) |
288,323 (32.4) |
108,465 (51.1) |
54,593 (64.2) |
<0.001 |
Dyslipidemia |
654,579 (16.9) |
354,931 (13.3) |
188,110 (21.1) |
75,067 (35.3) |
36,471 (42.9) |
<0.001 |
CKD |
260,725 (6.8) |
155,993 (5.8) |
70,072 (7.9) |
21,042 (9.9) |
13,618 (16.0) |
<0.001 |
Income status |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lowest quartile |
751,765 (19.5) |
523,490 (19.6) |
166,987 (18.8) |
44,384 (20.9) |
16,904 (19.9) |
<0.001 |
Smoking |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-smoker |
2,299,615 (59.5) |
1,652,590 (61.8) |
485,899 (54.6) |
109,323 (51.5) |
51,803 (60.9) |
<0.001 |
Ex-smoker |
552,552 (14.3) |
340,468 (12.7) |
156,499 (17.6) |
39,613 (18.7) |
15,972 (18.8) |
|
Current smoker |
1,011,156 (26.2) |
682,418 (25.5) |
248,004 (27.9) |
63,455 (29.9) |
17,279 (20.3) |
|
Alcohol consumption |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None |
1,984,806 (51.4) |
1,399,781 (52.3) |
421,821(47.4) |
108,389 (51.0) |
54,815 (64.5) |
<0.001 |
Mild to moderate |
1,570,345 (40.7) |
1,091,870 (40.8) |
375,364 (42.2) |
79,189 (37.3) |
23,922 (28.1) |
|
Heavy |
308,172 (8.0) |
183,825 (6.9) |
93,217 (10.5) |
24,813 (11.7) |
6,317 (7.4) |
|
Regular PA |
692,063 (17.9) |
458,362 (17.1) |
168,672 (18.9) |
43,733 (20.6) |
21,296 (25.0) |
<0.001 |
Laboratory findings, mg/dL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fasting glucose |
96.7±22.5 |
87.5±7.7 |
107.8±6.6 |
146.2±45.9 |
147.5±52.2 |
<0.001 |
Total cholesterol |
195.1±36.7 |
192.6±35.5 |
201.8±37.5 |
201.5±42.0 |
188.8±40.3 |
<0.001 |
HDL cholesterol |
56.1±27.8 |
56.8±27.7 |
55.4±27.7 |
52.8±27.8 |
51.9±29.9 |
<0.001 |
LDL cholesterol |
113.7±38.6 |
112.6±38.0 |
117.6±38.5 |
113.2±43.4 |
106.3±41.3 |
<0.001 |
Sepsis |
77,609 (2.0) |
42,447 (1.6) |
19,963 (2.2) |
8,871 (4.2) |
6,328 (7.4) |
<0.001 |
Table 2.Diabetic status and duration in association with sepsis incidence
Glycemic status |
Subjects |
Sepsis |
Duration, PY |
IR, / 1,000 PY |
HR (95% CI)
|
Univariable model 1 |
Multivariable
|
Model 2 |
Model 3 |
Normal FPG |
2,675,476 |
42,447 |
27,161,552 |
1.56 |
1 (Ref) |
1 (Ref) |
1 (Ref) |
IFG |
890,402 |
19,963 |
8,948,872 |
2.23 |
1.432 (1.408–1.456) |
1.034 (1.017–1.052) |
1.029 (1.012–1.047) |
T2DM for <5 years (including new-onset) |
212,391 |
8,871 |
2,076,617 |
4.27 |
2.763 (2.702–2.827) |
1.473 (1.439–1.507) |
1.433 (1.398–1.467) |
T2DM for ≥5 years |
85,054 |
6,328 |
802,774 |
7.88 |
5.172 (5.037–5.310) |
1.875 (1.825–1.925) |
1.818 (1.769–1.868) |
Overall P valuea
|
|
|
|
|
<0.001 |
<0.001 |
<0.001 |
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Appendix
Appendix 1.
Self-report questionnaires from the biennial health screening program (general health check-up) by the Korean National Health Insurance Service
dmj-2024-0387-app1.pdf
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