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Metabolic Risk/Epidemiology
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Ultra-Processed Food Intake and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Studies
Yujin Kim, Yoonkyoung Cho, Jin Eui Kim, Dong Hoon Lee, Hannah Oh
Diabetes Metab J. 2025;49(5):1064-1074.   Published online June 9, 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4093/dmj.2024.0706
Correction in: Diabetes Metab J 2026;50(1):211
  • 16,661 View
  • 539 Download
  • 14 Web of Science
  • 13 Crossref
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReader   ePub   
Background
Although some studies suggest a positive association between ultra-processed food (UPF) intake and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), little is known about the exact shape and risks associated with different units (percentage of g/day, absolute g/day, serving/day) of UPF intake and whether the association is independent of diet quality, total energy intake, and body mass index (BMI).
Methods
Prospective studies published through January 2024 were identified by searching PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science. Summary relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using random-effects models. A nonlinear dose-response meta-analysis was conducted using restricted cubic spline analysis.
Results
After screening 569 publications, a total of 12 prospective cohort studies were included. Comparing the highest vs. lowest categories of intake, summary RR for T2DM risk was 1.48 (95% CI, 1.36 to 1.61). Higher summary RRs were observed among studies from Europe and North America. Among individual UPF subgroups, processed meats (summary RR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.16 to 1.54) were positively associated, whereas ultra-processed cereals and breads (0.98; 95% CI, 0.97 to 0.99) and packaged savory snacks (0.92; 95% CI, 0.88 to 0.95) were inversely associated. The summary RRs associated with every 10% (of g/day), 100-g/day, and 1-serving/day increase in UPF intake were 1.14 (95% CI, 1.11 to 1.17), 1.05 (95% CI, 1.03 to 1.06), and 1.04 (95% CI, 1.03 to 1.05), respectively. The dose-response curve for absolute g/d intake suggested nonlinearity, showing a steeper risk increase approximately at >300 g/day. The associations persisted after adjustment for diet quality, energy intake, or BMI.
Conclusion
Our data suggest that UPF intake increases diabetes risk, with a potential threshold effect at 300 g/day.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Ultra-Processed Food Intake and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Studies (Diabetes Metab J 2025;49:1064-74)
    Lirong Hu, Aiji Chen, Gang Tian
    Diabetes & Metabolism Journal.2026; 50(1): 194.     CrossRef
  • Ultra-Processed Food Intake and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Studies (Diabetes Metab J 2025;49:1064-74)
    Yujin Kim, Hannah Oh
    Diabetes & Metabolism Journal.2026; 50(1): 208.     CrossRef
  • Dietary Patterns, Cooking Methods, and Their Association with Prediabetes Risk Markers in Romanian University Students: A Cross-Sectional Analysis
    Teodora Piroș, Raluca Lupusoru, Lavinia Cristina Moleriu, Călin Muntean, Radu Dumitru Moleriu, Dora Mihalea Cîmpian, Mădălina Gabriela Cincu, Elena Gabriela Strete, Amalia Gabriela Timofte, Ruxandra-Cristina Marin
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  • Commentary on the Dietary Guidelines for Americans 2026–2030
    Douglas Taren, Robert Bandsma, Alejandra Cantoral, Chi Chen, Brian Finck, Corrine Hanson, Gang Hu, Nicole Kellow, Kathleen Holton, Hanqi Luo, Joshua Miller, Maurizio Muscaritoli, Muzi Na, Rachel Novotny, Omar Ramos-Lopez, Manuel Ruz, Krista Varady, Saroja
    Nutrition Reviews.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Associations between dietary food categories, epigenetic age acceleration and low-grade inflammation in the Lifelines-DEEP cohort
    Laura Bordoni, Fatemeh Mansouri, Chiara Rucci, João Agostinho de Sousa, Ferdinand von Meyenn
    Clinical Nutrition.2026; 63: 106703.     CrossRef
  • Ultra-processed food consumption and the trajectory of cardio-renal-metabolic multimorbidity: insights from multi-state modelling
    Shuzhen Zhao, Chengnan Guo, Xin Zhang, Yi Li, Jingkun Hu, Jiayi Huang, Luojia Dai, Zhenqiu Liu, Tiejun Zhang
    Food & Function.2026; 17(14): 6478.     CrossRef
  • The association between ultra-processed food consumption and incidence of cardio-renal-metabolic multimorbidity: Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study
    Emad Alem, Somayeh Hosseinpour-Niazi, Parvin Mirmiran, Fereidoun Azizi
    Nutrition, Metabolism and Cardiovascular Diseases.2026; : 104855.     CrossRef
  • Nutrition and cardiometabolic health in cystic fibrosis: Emerging evidence and research gaps
    Veronica Lynch, Joanne Barrett, Sarah Collins, Paige Elliott, Darren Sills, Joanna Snowball, Pauline Douglas, Alan R Smyth, Audrey Tierney, Damian G. Downey, Claire McEvoy
    Journal of Cystic Fibrosis.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • When ultra-processed food is clinically indicated: Oral nutritional supplements and the limits of the nova paradigm in clinical nutrition
    Jimmy Chun Yu Louie
    Clinical Nutrition.2026; 65: 106769.     CrossRef
  • Total ultra-processed food intake and selected food-group exposures in relation to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis
    Dongmei Chen, Ling Li, Chenglong Zhang
    Frontiers in Nutrition.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Geographic Patterns of Pancreatic Cancer Mortality and Dietary Microplastic Exposure in Italy: An Ecological Hypothesis-Generating Framework
    Masoumeh Khamehchi, Umberto Cornelli, Rafael Luque, Claudio Casella
    Microplastics.2026; 5(3): 184.     CrossRef
  • Ultra-Processed Food Consumption and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study
    Priscila Machado, Natalia Tolstova, Melissa Lane, Caroline Costa, Euridice Martinez Steele, Fernanda Rauber, Renata B. Levy, Sarah A. McNaughton, Mark Lawrence, Carlos A. Monteiro, Allison Hodge
    Journal of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics.2026; 126(12): 156434.     CrossRef
  • Trends in sales of sugar-sweetened beverages and associated type 2 diabetes burden in nine African countries: an ecological time-series analysis
    Caroline H. Karugu, Gershim Asiki, Senzo Mthembu, Samuel Iddi, Peter M. Kaberia, Shukri F. Mohamed, Richard E. Sanya, Sylvia Kiwuwa-Muyingo, Stefanie Vandevijvere, Charles Agyemang
    Global Health Action.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
Review
Lifestyle
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Ultra-Processed Foods and the Impact on Cardiometabolic Health: The Role of Diet Quality
Xiaowen Wang, Qi Sun
Diabetes Metab J. 2024;48(6):1047-1055.   Published online November 1, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4093/dmj.2024.0659
  • 31,217 View
  • 816 Download
  • 14 Web of Science
  • 12 Crossref
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReader   ePub   
The consumption of ultra-processed foods (UPFs) has surged globally, raising significant public health concerns due to their associations with a range of adverse health outcomes. This review aims to elucidate potential health impacts of UPF intake and underscore the importance of considering diet quality when interpreting study findings. UPF group, as classified by the Nova system based on the extent of industrial processing, contains numerous individual food items with a wide spectrum of nutrient profiles, as well as differential quality as reflected by their potential health effects. The quality of a given food may well misalign with the processing levels so that a UPF food can be nutritious and healthful whereas a non-UPF food can be of low quality and excess intake of which may lead to adverse health consequences. The current review argues that it is critical to focus on the nutritional content and quality of foods and their role within the overall dietary pattern rather than only the level of processing. Further research should dissect health effects of diet quality and food processing, investigate the health impacts of ingredients that render the UPF categorization, understand roles of metabolomics and the gut microbiome in mediating and modulating the health effects of food processing, and consider environmental sustainability in UPF studies. Emphasizing nutrient-dense healthful foods and dietary patterns shall remain the pivotal strategy for promoting overall health and preventing chronic diseases.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Nutrition Label Reading and Understanding, Food Advertising Exposure, and Excess Weight Among Brazilian Adults: A Cross-Sectional Study
    Laysa Bueno, Luiz Lourenção, Thaiany de Souza-Silva, Cristina Alves, Marcelo Rezende, Eric Ferreira, Denismar Nogueira, António Raposo, Zayed Alsharari, Mona BinMowyna, Sarah Almutairi, Daniela Lima
    Nutrients.2026; 18(4): 559.     CrossRef
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    Sui Ye, Jianchao Xi, Ziqiang Li
    International Journal of Health Geographics.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • The Effect of Ultra-Processed Food Consumption and Physical Activity on Fatty Acid Profiles in Young Muslims in Melilla
    Miriam Mohatar-Barba, María López-Olivares, Emilio González-Jiménez, Ana Rodríguez-Rodríguez, Mario Román-Cabezas, Javier S. Perona, Carmen Enrique-Mirón
    Healthcare.2026; 14(10): 1415.     CrossRef
  • Dietary advanced glycation end products and risk of cardiometabolic disorders in older adults: cross-sectional data from the 2007–2021 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES)
    Arti Sharma, Jimi Kim
    BMC Nutrition.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Ultra-Processed Food Consumption Is Independently Associated with Higher HbA1c and Poor Glycemic Control in Adults with Type 2 Diabetes
    Nezihe Otay Lule, Serpil Şahin, Kemal Ozan Lule, Hamit Yildiz
    Nutrients.2026; 18(12): 1951.     CrossRef
  • Ultra-Processed Foods, MASLD, and Cognitive Aging: A Processing-Centered Gut–Liver–Brain Axis Perspective
    Yirui Chen, Hongxin Gui, Tieniu Zhao, Chang Liu, Ye Zhang, Mengyang Wang, Rongrong Yang
    Nutrients.2026; 18(13): 2041.     CrossRef
  • Ultra-processed food consumption and the trajectory of cardio-renal-metabolic multimorbidity: insights from multi-state modelling
    Shuzhen Zhao, Chengnan Guo, Xin Zhang, Yi Li, Jingkun Hu, Jiayi Huang, Luojia Dai, Zhenqiu Liu, Tiejun Zhang
    Food & Function.2026; 17(14): 6478.     CrossRef
  • Short-term ketogenic diet induces systemic lipidomic remodeling associated with metabolic adaptation in humans
    Minkuk Park, Jae Sik Yu, Justin Y. Jeon, Hyun-A Oh, Yong-ho Lee, Sang-Guk Lee, Gakyung Lee
    Frontiers in Nutrition.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • A systematic review to critically appraise methodological rigor in research on ultra-processed food and cardiovascular disease and hypertension
    Tefera Chane Mekonnen, Zegeye Abebe, Anteneh Mengist Dessie, Teketo Tegegne, Tolassa Ushula, Kacie Dickinson, Catherine Brady, Zumin Shi, Robert Adams, Jason HY Wu, Mario Siervo, Yohannes Adama Melaku
    Critical Reviews in Food Science and Nutrition.2026; : 1.     CrossRef
  • Social determinants of health and type 2 diabetes in Asia
    Kyunghun Sung, Seung‐Hwan Lee
    Journal of Diabetes Investigation.2025; 16(6): 971.     CrossRef
  • Are all ultra-processed foods bad? A critical review of the NOVA classification system
    Jimmy Chun Yu Louie
    Proceedings of the Nutrition Society.2025; : 1.     CrossRef
  • Clinician Guidance on the Benefits of Healthy Nutrition and Increased Physical Activity for People With Type 2 Diabetes Following Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonist Initiation
    Pamela Kushner, Carlos Campos, Aaron King, Davida F. Kruger, Javier Morales
    Clinical Diabetes.2025; 43(5): 681.     CrossRef
Original Article
Lifestyle
Article image
Associations of Ultra-Processed Food Intake with Body Fat and Skeletal Muscle Mass by Sociodemographic Factors
Sukyoung Jung, Jaehee Seo, Jee Young Kim, Sohyun Park
Diabetes Metab J. 2024;48(4):780-789.   Published online February 2, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4093/dmj.2023.0335
  • 12,303 View
  • 368 Download
  • 14 Web of Science
  • 15 Crossref
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReader   ePub   
Background
The effects of excessive ultra-processed food (UPF) consumption on body composition measures or sociodemographic disparities are understudied in Korea. We aimed to investigate the association of UPF intake with percent body fat (PBF) and percent appendicular skeletal muscle mass (PASM) by sociodemographic status in adults.
Methods
This study used data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2008–2011 (n=11,123 aged ≥40 years). We used a NOVA system to classify all foods reported in a 24-hour dietary recall, and the percentage of energy intake (%kcal) from UPFs was estimated. PBF and PASM were measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Tertile (T) 3 of PBF indicated adiposity and T1 of PASM indicated low skeletal muscle mass, respectively. Multinomial logistic regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) after adjusting covariates.
Results
UPF intake was positively associated with PBF-defined adiposity (ORper 10% increase, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.002 to 1.08) and low PASM (ORper 10% increase, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.09). These associations were stronger in rural residents (PBF: ORper 10% increase, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.23; PASM: ORper 10% increase, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.23) and not college graduates (PBF: ORper 10% increase, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.11; PASM: ORper 10% increase, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.12) than their counterparts.
Conclusion
A higher UPF intake was associated with higher adiposity and lower skeletal muscle mass among Korean adults aged 40 years and older, particularly in those from rural areas and with lower education levels.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Ultra-processed Foods and Muscle Fat Infiltration at Thigh MRI: Data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative
    Zehra Akkaya, Gabby B. Joseph, Katharina Ziegeler, Wynton M. Sims, John A. Lynch, Virginie Kreutzinger, Charles E. McCulloch, Nancy E. Lane, Michael C. Nevitt, Thomas M. Link
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    Akam Ramezani, Ariyan Ayati Firoozabadi, Bafrin Dabestani, Hossein Fakhrzadeh, Mitra Moodi, Azin Pakmehr, Hanieh-Sadat Ejtahed, Farshad Sharifi
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  • Association between ultra-processed foods and adiposity: findings from a Tehran lipid and glucose study
    Mahdieh Golzarand, Nazanin Moslehi, Mohadeseh Aghasi, Parvin Mirmiran, Fereidoun Azizi
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    Mehmet Kanbay, Sama Mahmoud Abdel‐Rahman, Mustafa Guldan, Lasin Ozbek, Adrian Covic, Francesca Mallamaci, Carmine Zoccali
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