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Does 10-Year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Predict Incident Diabetic Nephropathy and Retinopathy in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus? Results from Two Prospective Cohort Studies in Southern China
Jiaheng Chen, Yu Ting Li, Zimin Niu, Zhanpeng He, Yao Jie Xie, Jose Hernandez, Wenyong Huang, Harry H.X. Wang, on Behalf of the Guangzhou Diabetic Eye Study Group
Diabetes Metab J. 2025;49(2):298-310.   Published online February 4, 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4093/dmj.2024.0239
  • 8,925 View
  • 198 Download
  • 1 Web of Science
  • 1 Crossref
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReader   ePub   
Background
Diabetic macrovascular and microvascular complications often coexist and may share similar risk factors and pathological pathways. We aimed to investigate whether 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk, which is commonly assessed in diabetes management, can predict incident diabetic nephropathy (DN) and retinopathy (DR) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).
Methods
This prospective cohort study enrolled 2,891 patients with clinically diagnosed T2DM who were free of ASCVD, nephropathy, or retinopathy at baseline in the Guangzhou (2017–2022) and Shaoguan (2019–2021) Diabetic Eye Study in southern China. The 10-year ASCVD risk was calculated by the Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China-PAR) equations. Multivariable- adjusted Cox proportional hazard models were developed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate predictive capability.
Results
During follow-up, a total of 171 cases of DN and 532 cases of DR were documented. Each 1% increment in 10-year ASCVD risk was associated with increased risk of DN (pooled HR, 1.122; 95% CI, 1.094 to 1.150) but not DR (pooled HR, 0.996; 95% CI, 0.979 to 1.013). The model demonstrated acceptable performance in predicting new-onset DN (pooled AUC, 0.670; 95% CI, 0.628 to 0.715). These results were consistent across cohorts and subgroups, with the association appearing to be more pronounced in women.
Conclusion
Ten-year ASCVD risk predicts incident DN but not DR in our study population with T2DM. Regular monitoring of ASCVD risk in routine diabetes practice may add to the ability to enhance population-based prevention for both macrovascular and microvascular diseases, particularly among women.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Investigation of the Potential Association Between Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score and Diabetic Retinopathy in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Cross-Sectional Study
    Chrysa Agapitou, Theodoros N. Sergentanis, Effie G. Papageorgiou, Panagiotis Theodossiadis, Ignatios Ikonomidis, Vaia Lambadiari, Irini Chatziralli
    Biomedicines.2025; 13(3): 633.     CrossRef
Basic and Translational Research
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Kidney Gastrin/CCKBR Attenuates Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus by Inhibiting SGLT2-Mediated Glucose Reabsorption through Erk/NF-κB Signaling Pathway
Xue Zhang, Yuhan Zhang, Yang Shi, Dou Shi, Min Niu, Xue Liu, Xing Liu, Zhiwei Yang, Xianxian Wu
Diabetes Metab J. 2025;49(2):194-209.   Published online December 24, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4093/dmj.2023.0397
  • 7,537 View
  • 237 Download
  • 5 Web of Science
  • 4 Crossref
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReader   ePub   
Background
Both sodium-glucose cotransporters (SGLTs) and Na+/H+ exchangers (NHEs) rely on a favorable Na-electrochemical gradient. Gastrin, through the cholecystokinin B receptor (CCKBR), can induce natriuresis and diuresis by inhibiting renal NHEs activity. The present study aims to unveil the role of renal CCKBR in diabetes through SGLT2-mediated glucose reabsorption.
Methods
Renal tubule-specific Cckbr-knockout (CckbrCKO) mice and wild-type (WT) mice were utilized to investigate the effect of renal CCKBR on SGLT2 and systemic glucose homeostasis under normal diet, high-fat diet (HFD), and HFD with a subsequent injection of a low dose of streptozotocin. The regulation of SGLT2 expression by gastrin/CCKBR and the underlying mechanism was explored using human kidney (HK)-2 cells.
Results
CCKBR was downregulated in kidneys of diabetic mice. Compared with WT mice, CckbrCKO mice exhibited a greater susceptibility to obesity and diabetes when subjected to HFD. In vitro experiments using HK-2 cells revealed an upregulation of glucose transporters after incubation with high glucose, a response that was significantly attenuated following gastrin intervention. The glucose uptake from the culture medium of cells was altered accordingly. Moreover, gastrin administration effectively mitigated hyperglycemia in WT diabetic mice by inhibition of SGLT2 mediated glucose reabsorption, but this effect was compromised in the absence of CCKBR, as seen in CckbrCKO mice. Mechanistically, gastrin/CCKBR substantially reduced SGLT2 expression in HK-2 cells exposed to high glucose, via modulating Erk/nuclear factor-kappa B (NF-κB) pathway.
Conclusion
Our study underscores the crucial role of renal gastrin/CCKBR in SGLT2 regulation and glucose reabsorption, and renal gastrin/CCKBR can be a promising therapeutic target for diabetes.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Chronic Kidney Disease in Metabolic Disease: Regulation of SGLT2 and Transcriptomic–Epigenetic Effects of Its Pharmacological Inhibition
    Chiara Salvà, Susanne Kaser, Matteo Landolfo
    International Journal of Molecular Sciences.2026; 27(2): 589.     CrossRef
  • Sanqi oral solution alleviates podocyte apoptosis in experimental membranous nephropathy by mediating EMT through the ERK/CK2-α/β-catenin pathway
    Xiaowan Wang, Juanjuan Wang, Bidan Zheng, Ruimin Tian, Lihua Huang, Wei Mao, Yi Feng, Bo Liu, Peng Xu
    Frontiers in Pharmacology.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Bioinformatics analysis combined with experimental validation reveals the novel mechanisms of multi-targets of dapagliflozin attenuating diabetic liver injury
    Pengyu Wang, Zhen Sun, Qing Lan, Shuo Zhang, Yan Song, Leiming Yang, Mi Chen, Jianfen Shen, Qi Huang, Youzhi Zhang
    Frontiers in Endocrinology.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Coordinated Regulation of Renal Glucose Reabsorption and Gluconeogenesis by mTORC2 and Potassium
    John Demko, Bidisha Saha, Enzo Takagi, Anna Manis, Robert Weber, Hermann Koepsell, David Pearce
    Journal of the American Society of Nephrology.2025; 36(9): 1733.     CrossRef

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